Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: France (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea3c04571736a6ccbf2c181e18448894898435e9809eb677de28c24ff5b4620f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof France, Northern Ireland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Northern Ireland | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Northern Ireland | 0c | 24,995$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed France | 69c | 8,343$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.44 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Northern Ireland | 28c | 7,203$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.48 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Ireland | 30c | 3,414$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Northern Ireland | 32c | 3,407$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.7 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked France | 73c | 3,392$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.99 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed France | 70c | 3,008$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.85 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Northern Ireland | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Northern Ireland | 31c | 1,695$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked France | 64c | 1,594$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.02 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Northern Ireland | 30c | 1,590$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.55 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Northern Ireland | 30c | 1,101$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.18 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked France | 77c | 966.93$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.93 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked France | 69c | 728.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.97 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…bc18backed France | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed France | 73c | 685.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.01 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed France | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Northern Ireland | 22c | 680.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Northern Ireland | 25c | 679.5$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed France | 76c | 655.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed France | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed France | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…a542backed Northern Ireland | 31c | 599.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Northern Ireland | 37c | 579.03$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…0c7dbacked France | 79c | 571.67$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Northern Ireland | 27c | 564.47$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Northern Ireland | 24c | 551.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.19 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed France | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed France | 69c | 507.84$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed France | 76c | 506.37$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked France | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.05 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Northern Ireland | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed France | 72c | 498.19$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Northern Ireland | 25c | 496.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Northern Ireland | 31c | 476.16$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Northern Ireland | 29c | 364.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed France | 54c | 351.4$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Northern Ireland | 27c | 350$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Northern Ireland | 31c | 344.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked France | 68c | 299.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed France | 70c | 279.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Northern Ireland | 7c | 271.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed France | 68c | 256.9$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northern Ireland | 28c | 256.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked France | 76c | 248.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked France | 70c | 235.02$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed France | 67c | 233.21$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Northern Ireland | 30c | 229.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed France | 75c | 226.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed France | 76c | 224.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Northern Ireland | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 29.9%41 W · 96 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed France | 69c | 186.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed France | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…507abacked France | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed France | 75c | 174.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed France | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Northern Ireland | 26c | 166$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Northern Ireland | 31c | 163.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Northern Ireland | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northern Ireland | 19c | 161.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed France | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked France | 77c | 159.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed France | 75c | 157.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Northern Ireland | 32c | 156.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed France | 70c | 151.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed France | 75c | 150.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Northern Ireland | 29c | 150.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…1be8backed France | 70c | 145.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked France | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Northern Ireland | 26c | 141.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed France | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…5e4cbacked France | 76c | 130.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked France | 69c | 130.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Northern Ireland | 31c | 128.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed France | 74c | 116.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 395 | 51.1%202 W · 193 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked France | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed France | 73c | 103.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed France | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…7bdabacked France | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked France | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Northern Ireland | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Northern Ireland | 30c | 91.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed France | 68c | 91.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked France | 70c | 89.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Northern Ireland | 16c | 86.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked France | 80c | 80.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 90 | 72.2%65 W · 25 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…38fcbacked France | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed France | 69c | 70.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed France | 76c | 64.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Northern Ireland | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked France | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed France | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed France | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…d117backed France | 64c | 56.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Ireland | 30c | 52.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed France | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…668dbacked France | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Northern Ireland | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked France | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: France (-1.5)this page
- France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Northern Ireland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.