TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,054 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under73c14,422$10,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.732,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over70c13,204$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,30014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Over28c7,082$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.979048.9%44 W · 46 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c6,250$4,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.364,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under71c5,844$4,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.2136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c5,068$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.143,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over28c3,129$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Under43c2,290$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.959151.6%47 W · 44 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over30c1,668$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf73b…2771backed Over60c1,635$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.42650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc9…ab64backed Under7c1,500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3953525.7%9 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick6cpaid+327.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Under73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8610956.9%62 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under72c1,317$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over43c1,264$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.722450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over16c1,222$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5134845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under70c1,216$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under64c1,097$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.053759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over17c976.4$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.492,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under79c948.87$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8719946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Under74c941.88$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.895040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under70c899.88$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.663151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over59c842.05$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over24c832.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over45c828.89$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37321747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over27c728.86$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.791,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Over31c648.39$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20133915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under70c642.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8614564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over24c633.79$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4543826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Under58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18014051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under70c580.44$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1376551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over27c535.42$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5615141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Over8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404621.7%10 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1308949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed Under72c483.31$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.315125.5%13 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over31c482.58$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.913830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under52c471.8$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8511065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under58c463$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.088658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5716153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c428.1$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.231,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Under73c409.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.639662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under48c408.07$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.664,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over14c404.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.928964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under72c383.77$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5324849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639f…75f0backed Under68c362.08$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.192356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over29c341.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9922919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c88…0e4dbacked Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over11c333.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6625865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c322.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15510740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over28c299.03$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0122226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over27c297$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1541344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under73c257.52$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.943,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over44c256.51$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Over26c250.7$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6612637.3%47 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6076…5e6dbacked Over39c249.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over35c249.1$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1913542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over23c247.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0111027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a41…b2acbacked Under64c230.7$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.051250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under55c217.27$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7710540%42 W · 63 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over43c216.28$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9316547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under48c208.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6323645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over28c203.44$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1354…19f7backed Over38c199.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over11c180.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.878058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over11c180.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8723363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over11c180.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.877057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4186…7513backed Over30c170.17$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514425%11 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee5f…5468backed Under70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488853.4%47 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under72c159$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5233443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c0…4c07backed Under74c155.62$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.041050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over27c152.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under72c150.63$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1841857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under70c149.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.251,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over12c142.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6811360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under72c142.22$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8212559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over12c142$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over28c140$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.223820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4de…846bbacked Under73c139.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.83271.9%23 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick73cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa10…8ee9backed Under73c137.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-69.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over11c136.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0419356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c132.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over25c129.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3329138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over30c128.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.12,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over56c126.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.211364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under70c126.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2511253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4389…6109backed Over29c119.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf21b…c816backed Over28c111.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.291936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab0…96c3backed Under56c105.36$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under63c103.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0237650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under75c101.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3318769.5%130 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2333…88f8backed Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over31c96.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0587651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.