TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over65c9,424$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,324.3614248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c8,816$4,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,676.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c5,116$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over50c4,026$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.2419644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under51c3,835$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.4312146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c2,834$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.272,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under20c2,653$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.593,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under62c2,517$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.88949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf73b…2771backed Over51c2,428$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c2,088$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.022,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8289443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over52c1,941$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.893873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under54c1,302$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.711,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c1,259$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.874,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325b…4466backed Under73c1,209$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over44c1,100$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61214433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Under55c1,055$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.214459.1%26 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under57c947$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.7563151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over46c930.09$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.231,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under54c899.89$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4886432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under56c800$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.7722041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over51c782.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.0120626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under54c775.28$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.6439951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Under53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009151.6%47 W · 44 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over44c750$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over36c685.15$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.6538745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over30c656.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.6722919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over40c632.26$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.113,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over49c630.96$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.797655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c625.4$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.23,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over42c611.36$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over50c536.7$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3576551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over71c494.93$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9324242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c88…0e4dbacked Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.83321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Over26c457.69$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.695143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over47c441.96$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.082,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over52c436.31$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0722226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under50c425$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5917255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under71c423.52$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6411561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over72c392.99$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0425865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over47c388.59$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4835658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under51c378.14$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8520150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over41c369.85$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.217953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under56c357$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.929653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under52c352.61$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.3622450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under54c349.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.498658.1%50 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under51c299.97$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.4931553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under51c277.77$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.661,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over72c275.03$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0128964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over64c265.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6312250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under60c261.33$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.034744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over50c254.1$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0538439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over49c249.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.513155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f15…50cbbacked Over43c245.79$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.795949.2%29 W · 30 L+9.2wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7755153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Under55c210.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0212437.1%46 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under51c203.26$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7348152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over46c201.45$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.431,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under51c199.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.971,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over48c196.35$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.119746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006747.8%32 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed Under52c192.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005125.5%13 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7422…8a59backed Over31c187.24$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.435244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over41c186.57$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.084,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Under39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1057237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under54c171$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.348549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over64c164.06$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0615650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under54c162.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8862452.7%329 W · 295 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Under53c160.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over70c158.57$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.577864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Over43c154.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under28c152.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.782,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under51c150.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9541857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce38…2513backed Over70c144.94$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.481526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-58.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under69c143.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.92837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1412637.3%47 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under51c134.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Over45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.338349.4%41 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0f…938fbacked Over30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Under30c131.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Under57c130$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.128326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under65c126.81$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.71,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under49c125.39$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4421836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Under53c111.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5963229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over64c107.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.611965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3828240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under50c105.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0539746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe30…6d57backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over36c103$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.213830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under28c100.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.071,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.