TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over61c20,903$12,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,138.3714248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c10,901$4,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,736.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c8,025$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c5,991$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.222,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9914829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over68c3,886$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.362,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under43c3,474$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.1212146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c3,458$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Under33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8825537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under16c2,505$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.783,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Under25c2,409$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.0325753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c2,012$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.333,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under19c1,915$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.5610942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under36c1,885$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.7823857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c1,743$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.462,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over64c1,526$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.391,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6454772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xc487…ab80backed Over68c1,300$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4147458.1%43 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Over64c1,234$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.1710142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under32c1,227$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.551,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under29c1,128$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.0471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb2…95e4backed Over73c1,091$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.521369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Under43c999.98$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9916225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over60c999.87$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.952846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Under2c899.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under36c806.63$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under49c723.58$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.663151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over64c687.58$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3510157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Under30c682.29$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8717329.5%51 W · 122 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over68c633.51$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.723557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under36c599.52$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.212,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over51c594.35$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under32c580.82$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.541,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under28c572.06$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9828229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over72c552.6$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7328964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over50c540$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1958348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over59c457.17$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2c37backed Over71c423.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.067844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under32c409.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.28949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under62c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over51c400$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19514146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over63c399.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4611252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under30c389.84$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.143,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over66c375.5$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6737451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Under4c374.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15547.4%4 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Under30c370$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110133.7%34 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over71c364.82$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.614243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over71c352.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1635658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2bc2…68cebacked Over71c352.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.171136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under39c345.9$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over76c328.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9533843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over67c286.57$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5768141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over71c284.53$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.033,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under42c280.87$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8322226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over73c274.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9512250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under58c246.73$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.138745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Over65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.775944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over54c212.96$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9626047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over62c208.06$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0616547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Under49c202.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9913830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e8…9cf2backed Over67c200.12$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.044953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Under26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524621.7%10 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over66c199.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6813453%71 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over69c199.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6218371%130 W · 53 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f3…a1a4backed Over56c189.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.62454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Over58c189.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6612639.7%50 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under29c182.03$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3934731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under30c180.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.451,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over67c178.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0131554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over72c178.57$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4115650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Over58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.411566.1%76 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under30c169.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.152,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under51c165.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5851429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under44c161.51$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over71c160$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.619958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3157…5903backed Under25c157.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c156.76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.221,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under19c155.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.592,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dde…592abacked Under59c152.37$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over62c142$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9434845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over70c141.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9615446.8%72 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over71c140.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7310948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over74c139.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3510753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Under8c137.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over48c137$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2416656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under15c125$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.252,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under34c124.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.749047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7422…8a59backed Under42c124.37$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.825244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4a…99c5backed Under32c122.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.071618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under38c121.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.646012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c112.33$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.337864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.