Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: France (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x503e3eaee67f0f1d7dafa79f6299e2f6e0f1d73959c66b77aae3adbba61c2849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Irelandof France, Northern Ireland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked France | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed France | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…db10backed France | 49c | 20,677$10,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,131.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Ireland | 51c | 15,637$7,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,728.91 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Northern Ireland | 51c | 6,041$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.68 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Northern Ireland | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked France | 47c | 4,146$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.02 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Northern Ireland | 54c | 4,049$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.35 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed France | 51c | 3,400$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.35 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Northern Ireland | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked France | 54c | 2,558$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.43 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed France | 52c | 2,377$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.05 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed France | 51c | 2,291$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed France | 35c | 2,161$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed France | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Northern Ireland | 54c | 2,002$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.86 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Northern Ireland | 52c | 1,930$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.88 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Northern Ireland | 50c | 1,602$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.71 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Northern Ireland | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.66 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked France | 38c | 1,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +12.7wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed France | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Northern Ireland | 50c | 1,364$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.53 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked France | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed France | 45c | 1,114$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.45 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Northern Ireland | 49c | 1,024$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed France | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Northern Ireland | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.55 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Northern Ireland | 47c | 978$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.12 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed France | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked France | 50c | 818.67$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Northern Ireland | 51c | 782.89$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.03 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed France | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed France | 52c | 688.58$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.94 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked France | 66c | 681.69$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Northern Ireland | 47c | 634.71$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed France | 53c | 613.85$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.34 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked France | 56c | 536.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Northern Ireland | 51c | 530$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Northern Ireland | 51c | 530$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Northern Ireland | 54c | 529.71$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Northern Ireland | 38c | 520.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.01 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed France | 45c | 519.69$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.86 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed France | 55c | 505.45$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.92 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Northern Ireland | 70c | 480.57$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed France | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a92…52f8backed Northern Ireland | 59c | 426.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed France | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Northern Ireland | 70c | 406.76$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.03 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Northern Ireland | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +12.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed France | 54c | 393.45$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Northern Ireland | 52c | 387.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked France | 65c | 376.92$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Northern Ireland | 54c | 372.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.57 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed France | 59c | 362.75$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.02 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Northern Ireland | 55c | 360.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Northern Ireland | 44c | 339.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Northern Ireland | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 137 | 29.9%41 W · 96 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…8655backed France | 48c | 322.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed France | 49c | 301.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed France | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Northern Ireland | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Northern Ireland | 50c | 277.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked France | 47c | 261.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Northern Ireland | 50c | 254.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Northern Ireland | 48c | 231.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.92 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked France | 44c | 228.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed France | 40c | 222$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed France | 53c | 214.1$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c2aebacked France | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Northern Ireland | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked France | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Northern Ireland | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Northern Ireland | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Northern Ireland | 53c | 199.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…cb6abacked France | 48c | 195.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…8588backed France | 53c | 191.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4b…7a73backed Northern Ireland | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ecc5backed Northern Ireland | 55c | 182.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Northern Ireland | 50c | 179.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Northern Ireland | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed France | 47c | 169.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked France | 46c | 162.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Northern Ireland | 51c | 157.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Northern Ireland | 53c | 150.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…cc3abacked France | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Northern Ireland | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Northern Ireland | 77c | 147.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed France | 46c | 146.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Ireland | 50c | 146.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked France | 54c | 144.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed France | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked France | 65c | 135$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked Northern Ireland | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed France | 62c | 131.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…5751backed France | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked France | 53c | 123.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Northern Ireland | 53c | 123.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Northern Ireland | 56c | 112.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Northern Ireland | 47c | 111.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Northern Ireland | 57c | 110.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: France (-2.5)this page
- France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.