Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aef2d90790c986b0d057f617e873a9308f933d7d8225bb06300e773971bdb06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 10c | 165,971$16,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,597.09 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 10c | 22,806$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.81 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 10c | 22,239$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.62 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 10c | 9,824$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.36 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 7,942$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab0…96c3backed Under | 12c | 6,109$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 11c | 3,713$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.73 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 10c | 3,477$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.65 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 12c | 1,250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.51 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 9c | 1,207$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 11c | 1,116$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Under | 24c | 1,030$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 11c | 839.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 14c | 775.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 11c | 487.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 5c | 473.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 10c | 456.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 11c | 442.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 11c | 372.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 10c | 344$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 11c | 316.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 11c | 310$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 10c | 294.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 10c | 284.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Under | 11c | 272.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Under | 12c | 240.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Under | 28c | 222$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 12c | 214.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 10c | 159.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…8a59backed Under | 12c | 150.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 12c | 136.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 32c | 136.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 10c | 131$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…0f86backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 15c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…2513backed Over | 80c | 87.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Under | 13c | 83.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 14c | 77.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 65.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fab1backed Over | 74c | 52.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 26c | 50.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…dbe1backed Over | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5this page
- France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5Over won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Northern Ireland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.