TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,635 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over1c25,601$371 inLost-$370.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over5c14,519$790 inLost-$790.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Over0c10,175$21 inLost-$20.992634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over13c7,410$937 inLost-$937.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over7c5,756$376 inLost-$376.312,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9326…d416backed Over17c3,889$648 inLost-$648.2110%0 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over2c2,652$44 inLost-$44.2939644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over5c1,671$81 inLost-$80.6236543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over16c1,250$200 inLost-$20089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Over14c860.79$121 inLost-$120.515721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over17c529.41$90 inLost-$9022919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over10c500$50 inLost-$5020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over14c393.9$55 inLost-$55.1571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed Over16c339.26$54 inLost-$54.281338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over15c313.33$47 inLost-$4713948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over14c300$42 inLost-$4222226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over6c262$16 inLost-$15.541,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over17c228$39 inLost-$38.7659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over17c194.01$33 inLost-$33.0138745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over12c177.6$21 inLost-$21.481,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over17c176.47$30 inLost-$3036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over16c149.56$24 inLost-$23.9310643.4%46 W · 60 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over14c144.65$20 inLost-$19.712,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Over12c134.12$16 inLost-$15.9614335.7%51 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost-$206116.4%10 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4186…7513backed Over16c128.31$21 inLost-$20.534425%11 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over17c128$22 inLost-$21.7626047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over14c118.13$17 inLost-$16.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1236…7d21backed Over15c110$17 inLost-$16.53145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over15c100$15 inLost-$1518426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over14c99$13 inLost-$13.3790840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over14c74.43$10 inLost-$10.4220330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over20c50$10 inLost-$1018827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.