Lol · resolved market
LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f7f81a28bdabae4d6df7e7166344141712644fb014384d6f202d709f61c3706
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crusadersof Crusaders, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Crusaders | 66c | 2,465$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.4 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Bubliki | 54c | 2,436$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bubliki | 39c | 1,850$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.67 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Bubliki | 2c | 889.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…7752backed Bubliki | 15c | 756.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Bubliki | 48c | 715.4$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…77f1backed Crusaders | 46c | 699.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…02fcbacked Bubliki | 30c | 665.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…394dbacked Crusaders | 48c | 584.67$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bubliki | 33c | 495.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed Crusaders | 52c | 384.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.77 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Crusaders | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Bubliki | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Bubliki | 30c | 332.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Crusaders | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Crusaders | 51c | 218.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Crusaders | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Bubliki | 54c | 185.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bubliki | 40c | 183.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bubliki | 47c | 159.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Bubliki | 17c | 127.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Crusaders | 51c | 93.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Bubliki | 47c | 92.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bubliki | 17c | 87.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Crusaders | 54c | 78.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Crusaders | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Crusaders | 62c | 49.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Crusaders | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Crusaders | 56c | 37.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Bubliki | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Crusaders | 75c | 29.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…fa0dbacked Crusaders | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…96f3backed Crusaders | 38c | 28.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked Bubliki | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Crusaders | 76c | 26.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Bubliki | 57c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked Bubliki | 54c | 20.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Crusaders | 73c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?Yes won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsBubliki won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 1 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 2 WinnerBubliki won
- LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 4 WinnerBubliki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.