La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6633869b8d25920030b6865f2c94562c591b902679de9e5414462926ef20e1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 45c | 24,999$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,249.68 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 10,429$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.85 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 7,313$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.42 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 3,963$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.46 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 3,745$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 40c | 3,223$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.11 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 55c | 3,065$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.27 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 73c | 2,739$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 2,715$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.64 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 74c | 1,487$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 31c | 961.29$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 42c | 953.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 42c | 924.29$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 55c | 818.16$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.17 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 58c | 762.75$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.85 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 55c | 727.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.26 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 31c | 522.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.21 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 493.15$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.79 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 33c | 366.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 14c | 341.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.73 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 67c | 331.05$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…2245backed Yes | 69c | 321.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 55c | 220.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 40c | 195$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 55c | 181.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed No | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +987.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 178.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Yes | 64c | 177.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 55c | 175.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 55c | 132.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed No | 30c | 132.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 55c | 125.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…3aaebacked No | 70c | 116.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 26c | 100.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 38c | 91.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 45c | 88.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 55c | 77.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 26c | 61.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 55c | 59.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 55c | 54.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 50.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cae…d9a1backed Yes | 40c | 48.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed No | 47c | 47.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 60c | 45.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 57c | 43.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 40c | 43.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 30c | 41.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 41c | 40.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 29c | 34.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No | 55c | 29.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 54c | 29.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked No | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…1279backed Yes | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…5703backed No | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed No | 55c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 55c | 22.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 60c | 22.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked No | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.