La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff467a606ae48ec265af9c634bab45f9392d909a0ff8a4616444bf45b2396727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 15c | 866.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 622.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 32c | 304.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd741…0079backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 246.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 237.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 22c | 226.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 171$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 151.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 34c | 132.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 19c | 114$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 32c | 109.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2b2ebacked Yes | 31c | 71.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 32c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 30c | 66.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…a4e2backed Yes | 30c | 38.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 38.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.