La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebcee89da0c3234e08454470ae2738bd9f2910921c24be1276924c1a50e5cfa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 55c | 16,643$9,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,123.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.87 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 9,689$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.85 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 51c | 7,104$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.71 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 52c | 5,362$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.43 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 43c | 5,120$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.96 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 4,746$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.99 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 3,971$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.13 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 2,544$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.65 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 57c | 2,301$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Under | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 44c | 1,932$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 1,505$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.17 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 1,252$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.81 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.72 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 61c | 592.35$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 499.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 58c | 281.72$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 264.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 253.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 193.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 50c | 193.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 193$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…07f8backed Under | 47c | 176.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Under | 47c | 170.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 48c | 159.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 45c | 145.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 42c | 121.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 45c | 110.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 50c | 109.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…b60ebacked Over | 56c | 106.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 54c | 92.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 44c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 48c | 55.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac8…5063backed Over | 53c | 55.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 32c | 47.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 42.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Over | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 45c | 38.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e018backed Under | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 46c | 35.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 73c | 31.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 63c | 25.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 45c | 25.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 44c | 24.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 64c | 23.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 44c | 22.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 29cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 64c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Under | 64c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Under | 48c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 78c | 17.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 79c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.