La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84c18c49e8b5b3ff8566b1504ffa6a5b9de5e9227570a28915d5b83ee755e540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesaof Real Sociedad de Fútbol B, Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a76…8006backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 1,050$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…7266backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 1,020$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…ce6fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 1,020$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…4812backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 1,020$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…ff55backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 1,002$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…b29abacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 1,001$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…d2e9backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…d77bbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 990$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…e75abacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 985$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…1096backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 984.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…c8debacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 975$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daa…1a46backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 970$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…122cbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 969$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b7…c1efbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 967.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9573…4b98backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 962$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…45f8backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 960.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…988dbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 960$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…463fbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 960$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…2082backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 959$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…6e8ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 949.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…8cb0backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 929.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…1409backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 874.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…01b5backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 825.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa6…9e94backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 817$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…3ac5backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 816.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6198…1221backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 774.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…eb60backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 771.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…7f32backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 754.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…6461backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 8c | 731$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…7ffbbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 9c | 713$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.