La Liga · resolved market
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x686b52d94e68b2aed6f7510f58c8529bc5e23e7760cb9a5372c4feac839a4b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 4,527$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.38 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 29c | 3,669$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.73 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 1,184$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.21 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 39c | 1,084$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.69 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 55c | 909.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Over | 74c | 484$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 330.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 77c | 242.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…f975backed Under | 55c | 225.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 224.12$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.36 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 207.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 19c | 202.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 78c | 194.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Under | 21c | 155.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 25c | 61.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 23c | 44.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 47c | 34.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)Real Sociedad de Fútbol B won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.