Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e4edb114f883e379013230dc8dcd5e79ffaacaca9d91492763e5bf43df6eb92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 7,735$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.27 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 43c | 3,599$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.62 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 44c | 1,906$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.61 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over | 57c | 1,649$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.15 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 3c | 1,615$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 1,521$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.58 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 1,404$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.08 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 16c | 1,328$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Over | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 57c | 1,050$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.49 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 56c | 743.48$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.1 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Under | 43c | 702.86$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.63 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 663.64$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 26c | 599.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 43c | 534.59$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.72 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Under | 79c | 420$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 57c | 294$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 57c | 288$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 48c | 249.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 57c | 240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 57c | 240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 57c | 239.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 205.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 42c | 181.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 55c | 159.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked Over | 56c | 157$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 55c | 138.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 45c | 138.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Over | 53c | 124.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 57c | 114.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 57c | 114$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 57c | 104.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 58c | 101.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 57c | 89.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 80c | 71.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 69.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 43c | 60.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 57.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 39c | 48.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 58c | 46.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 45.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 56c | 44.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 59c | 33.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…5d80backed Over | 58c | 25.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 50c | 22.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 57c | 20.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 57c | 18.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.