Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x945c4d85038d3580b1ebb92954790b7fa309fa95503f46138de83bbc6d8d23c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 2,914$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.43 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 2,796$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.37 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,959$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.77 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 1,290$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.37 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 26c | 881$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.3 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 64c | 581.63$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 38c | 535.15$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…e0d7backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 69c | 455.3$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.89 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 15c | 411.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 385.13$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.49 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 32c | 355.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 350.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 349.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 208.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 50c | 204.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 195.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 178.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 148.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 19c | 108.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under | 79c | 103$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +238.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 78c | 92.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 26c | 87.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 66.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 77c | 65.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 23c | 65.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8226…7a58backed Over | 50c | 57.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 29c | 55.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 71c | 42.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 39.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 36.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 56c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…97e8backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Over | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcb…a2aabacked Under | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5this page
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.