Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ee7863086a8651b435e482cdf7a547777972ec1059a17ce98d801abaaa774c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 74c | 1,350$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 902.74$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.77 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 27c | 355$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 31c | 166.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Over | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 66c | 92.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 92.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 32c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 69c | 24.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: FK Dynamo Kyiv O/U 0.5this page
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: FC Universitatea Cluj O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Universitatea Cluj (-2.5)FK Dynamo Kyiv won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-1.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
- Spread: FK Dynamo Kyiv (-2.5)FC Universitatea Cluj won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.