Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe097c28477017a7ea61047fb2b8c160c45981252a2e947214582397157a0aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 4,354$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 1,044$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.04 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 68c | 439.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 437.09$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…fde8backed Yes | 46c | 368.2$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 349.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 329.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…52d5backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 43c | 230.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 207.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aca…95f7backed No | 54c | 190.28$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…c934backed No | 54c | 177.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 12c | 165.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 150.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 136.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…5f86backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 12c | 108.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 100.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 56c | 82.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 65.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 44c | 39.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed No | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…faafbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 57c | 29.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 44c | 27.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 62c | 25.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked No | 67c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-12?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?No won
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-05-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.