Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-05-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14437b77ea1fda7dc7be67bfe657ad1d525afa66eece4e226075d1e89d07c86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 72c | 4,008$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 1,975$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.17 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 1,508$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.72 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 31c | 634$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.24 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 519.87$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.02 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 34c | 508$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 29c | 500$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.37 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 478.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.06 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 457.31$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.19 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 71c | 422.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 70c | 286.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 74c | 282.19$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 27c | 266.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.67 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 40c | 208.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 204.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 28c | 181$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 168$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 155.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 146.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 71c | 141$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 132$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 66c | 125.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 111.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 79.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 54c | 63.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 46.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 29.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…9d49backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-05-12?this page
- Will Aberdeen FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-05-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.