TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7bc…9d49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5869%40 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguelbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$4.63
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Los Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutetbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNallybacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Matteo Martineaubacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Liberec: Kilian Feldbausch vs Harold Mayotbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.25
Samsun: Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Targu Mures: Mia Ristic vs Darja Semenistajabacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.88
Palermo: Mina Hodzic vs Noemi Basilettibacked Mina Hodzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Generali Open: Quentin Halys vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.97
Palermo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Deborah Chiesabacked Deborah Chiesa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Livesport Prague Open: Alisa Oktiabreva vs Oceane Dodinbacked Alisa Oktiabreva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.03
ITF Takasaki: Mei Yamaguchi vs Sofya Lanserebacked Sofya Lansere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.61
Hamburg European Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.99
Zagreb: Elmer Moeller vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquetbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Paris: Alina Charaeva vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT358.6%3 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$781.68
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$226.67
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$345
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.56
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will PSV win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$18.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.