TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Luis Guto Miguel

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valentin Royerof Valentin Royer, Luis Guto Miguel
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Luis Guto Miguel9c10,561$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.674,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Luis Guto Miguel15c8,980$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.448,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Valentin Royer78c6,180$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.8135244.6%157 W · 195 L-20.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe004…d87cbacked Valentin Royer79c4,082$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.4615060%90 W · 60 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Luis Guto Miguel17c4,074$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.6459852.7%315 W · 283 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Luis Guto Miguel6c2,610$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.58,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Luis Guto Miguel29c2,500$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.4632337.5%121 W · 202 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed Luis Guto Miguel19c2,069$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009547.4%45 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Luis Guto Miguel14c2,022$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.692,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Luis Guto Miguel9c1,993$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5240235.8%144 W · 258 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f6…4488backed Luis Guto Miguel10c911.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Valentin Royer74c697.67$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.45644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Luis Guto Miguel19c688.31$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1635951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Luis Guto Miguel18c659.03$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.986,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Valentin Royer74c538.93$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4164753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Luis Guto Miguel25c533.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.12,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Luis Guto Miguel7c532.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.313,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Luis Guto Miguel29c515$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.531,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Luis Guto Miguel11c468.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029953.5%160 W · 139 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Luis Guto Miguel27c438$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.414,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Luis Guto Miguel27c426.77$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.892941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Luis Guto Miguel24c413.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020152.2%105 W · 96 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Luis Guto Miguel8c404.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3247252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Luis Guto Miguel25c401.85$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.69232.6%30 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Luis Guto Miguel21c400$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.19,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Valentin Royer77c398$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.076,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Valentin Royer79c392.57$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6548947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e5…dd32backed Luis Guto Miguel30c391.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.192128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Valentin Royer69c336.97$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.974835.4%17 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Valentin Royer78c324.84$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.075,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72da…9b77backed Luis Guto Miguel16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.942326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Luis Guto Miguel15c303.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.21,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd1…cef5backed Luis Guto Miguel17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Luis Guto Miguel35c289.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044051.6%227 W · 213 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Luis Guto Miguel17c288.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8615115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Valentin Royer72c278.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9488935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Valentin Royer73c272.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1423360.1%140 W · 93 L+21.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Luis Guto Miguel37c270.89$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.462,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Luis Guto Miguel19c232.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.650948.1%245 W · 264 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe01b…fa88backed Luis Guto Miguel11c176.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209349.5%46 W · 47 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Valentin Royer80c173.63$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.731,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Luis Guto Miguel29c170.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,57546.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L+15.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Valentin Royer79c170.27$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.42,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Luis Guto Miguel29c168.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1678757.1%449 W · 338 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Luis Guto Miguel9c167.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.741,21252%630 W · 582 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f3…4cfdbacked Valentin Royer61c164.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.473036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Luis Guto Miguel24c159.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3459738.2%228 W · 369 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0fd…3798backed Luis Guto Miguel15c157.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.749421.3%20 W · 74 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Valentin Royer80c149.35$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871,07360.4%648 W · 425 L+24.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Luis Guto Miguel14c144.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.155,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c38…1bfabacked Valentin Royer71c140.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.064346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Luis Guto Miguel12c137.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.882,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Luis Guto Miguel27c134.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618158.6%106 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed Luis Guto Miguel19c123.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.219037.8%34 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3db…c173backed Luis Guto Miguel13c117.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2218540%74 W · 111 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Luis Guto Miguel18c106.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,83057.7%1,056 W · 774 L+105.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Luis Guto Miguel18c105.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0414245.1%64 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Valentin Royer77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.114555.9%81 W · 64 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Luis Guto Miguel21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.16,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Valentin Royer74c98.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9682460.6%499 W · 325 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc254…c435backed Luis Guto Miguel23c86.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Luis Guto Miguel19c84.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Luis Guto Miguel18c81.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6724846.4%115 W · 133 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79a8…bb66backed Valentin Royer71c70.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.03955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Valentin Royer72c69.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5411640.5%47 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Luis Guto Miguel29c68.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208810.2%9 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Luis Guto Miguel25c67.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8372147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Valentin Royer79c66.43$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9521854.6%119 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Luis Guto Miguel29c61.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9844138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Luis Guto Miguel21c60.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7448152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cd…0e92backed Valentin Royer66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6022…9ec8backed Valentin Royer77c47.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.774463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Valentin Royer71c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.926,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed Valentin Royer73c40.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.819158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Valentin Royer73c40.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6611855.1%65 W · 53 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x740b…0cdbbacked Valentin Royer77c35.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Valentin Royer80c31.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2616870.8%119 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Valentin Royer71c28.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1635866.5%238 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Valentin Royer80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514653.4%78 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b6…0a41backed Valentin Royer71c21.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.018552.9%45 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6944…3902backed Valentin Royer71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.748662.8%54 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7bc…9d49backed Valentin Royer76c19.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.635869%40 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Valentin Royer80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.897852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Valentin Royer80c13.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.697,71047.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.