MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e1df741a140410498d9c47306c9a875bad31376f4f320b3897e67d0725e7101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Over | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 4,644$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.19 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 845.57$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.89 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 59c | 649.32$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.04 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 48c | 571.05$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.34 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over | 39c | 523.07$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 79c | 379.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 60c | 329.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 41c | 247$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 39c | 179$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 40c | 179$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 62c | 161.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 129.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 118$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 40c | 117.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 61c | 112.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 51c | 103.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 92.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 56c | 35.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 38c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked Under | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 76c | 19.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles AngelsColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-6.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.