TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72d8…5213backed Under52c59,598$30,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,990.886662.1%41 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over48c50,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,00041149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c29,034$14,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,234.417843.6%34 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over49c16,221$7,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,272.7644851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c10,268$4,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.092,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under49c5,767$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.983,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45027254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under42c4,771$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017248.3%83 W · 89 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Under51c4,160$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.5712247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c3,783$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.811,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under51c3,595$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.5139047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under49c3,000$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.1324651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under50c2,621$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.0887453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over57c2,011$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.634,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96024150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.831,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under50c1,623$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.3889053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c1,562$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.36,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over50c1,449$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.51,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c1,065$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over55c1,021$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.13,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50090053.6%482 W · 418 L+24.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40012449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35011848.3%57 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over51c573.02$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.782755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over57c518.76$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.48,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over51c480.76$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.571942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c414.06$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.174,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Over49c375$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2513754%74 W · 63 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c369.42$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over49c338$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3828647.2%135 W · 151 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over51c328$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7239151.9%203 W · 188 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7899947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c292.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.084,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Over50c287$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6921451.9%111 W · 103 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over49c283$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3361250.5%309 W · 303 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Over65c261.54$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5416456.7%93 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011962.2%74 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over44c202.78$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4950748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4559…1c26backed Over49c198$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.982045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over49c190$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.921057.6%121 W · 89 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Over49c190$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.918951.9%98 W · 91 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x416b…cbd5backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over51c166$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3421851.4%112 W · 106 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over52c164$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8846557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over67c154.03$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.839,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over50c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.52,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7571044.5%316 W · 394 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Over49c139$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8934149.3%168 W · 173 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over49c135$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8540648.5%197 W · 209 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c132$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.682,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Over50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.62,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under51c115$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.651,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over44c105.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9243954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5145149.2%222 W · 229 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014759.9%88 W · 59 L+14.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5155146.8%258 W · 293 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5259252.7%312 W · 280 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Over49c98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9827351.6%141 W · 132 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Over48c96.57$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9422151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Under50c92.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0314555.9%81 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc82…a7c8backed Over49c90.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over51c86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.141,30650.7%662 W · 644 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Over50c83.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9816450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6316251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over26c80$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.235341.1%145 W · 208 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over51c78.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5943560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under50c72.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4328350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over51c72.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.32941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58c…4fc0backed Over50c70.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.351163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Over49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.745251.3%232 W · 220 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…0827backed Over49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.727449.6%136 W · 138 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.477052.1%401 W · 369 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Over25c69.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.94829.2%14 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Over49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1131848.7%155 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07d1…439ebacked Over49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1116749.1%82 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.662554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2618045.6%82 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baa…96f4backed Over49c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5215449.4%76 W · 78 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc51…245abacked Under51c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.522050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Over68c51.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7911855.9%66 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259243.5%40 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b7…297bbacked Over49c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4811855.9%66 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over56c47.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9599744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c30…34f5backed Over67c42.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.872661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca7…e965backed Over49c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.426448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010757.9%62 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cc…bfaabacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205343.4%23 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.225642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024742.9%106 W · 141 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98a…5da6backed Under48c37.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.943551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce6…ba8bbacked Under52c36.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.742955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under48c35.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7840148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.