Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7edce61c875adeeae5582b0fe4a82b2d329773d305103b0be2c16403a662453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 42c | 31,903$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 58c | 10,324$5,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.12 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 5,700$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.38 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 16c | 3,500$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.79 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 3,292$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.05 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 58c | 3,200$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 30c | 2,698$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.52 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 1,927$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 72c | 1,658$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.17 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…e4bdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,488$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 58c | 1,367$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 58c | 1,184$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 60c | 833.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 801.61$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.3 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yes | 42c | 606.49$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 551.69$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.42 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 42c | 550$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 58c | 520$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 58c | 520$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 42c | 480.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 42c | 448.41$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 73c | 360.76$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 59c | 335.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 329.83$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 58c | 320$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 58c | 312$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 58c | 312$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 16c | 301.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 29c | 299.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 41c | 291.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 59c | 277.05$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 60c | 273.88$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 41c | 271.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 75c | 260.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 41c | 260.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 42c | 240.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 25c | 237.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 58c | 236.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 235.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 41c | 228.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 16c | 219.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…c17dbacked Yes | 16c | 199.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 13c | 163.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 155.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 60c | 152.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 146.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 27c | 146.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 61c | 143.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 139.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 79c | 136$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +83%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 59c | 135.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +218.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…a717backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 122.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 10c | 100.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 58c | 98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 26c | 95.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…63f9backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 41c | 91.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 41c | 80.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 59c | 71.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bd…57adbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…d7d4backed No | 59c | 71.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 42c | 70.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…9c37backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.