Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f6b6cce81350125a29e0e5b9e148065162c051c2b8e3caf9fc027f834b5e6c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 33c | 34,928$11,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,437.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 12,990$9,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.27 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 66c | 8,348$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 66c | 7,458$4,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 66c | 4,816$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.88 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 4,609$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.4 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 3,500$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 1,839$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.63 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 1,444$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…fa16backed Yes | 8c | 1,251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 73c | 1,114$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 990$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 30c | 933.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 27c | 735.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 719.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 72c | 611.11$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 66c | 499.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed No | 66c | 499.96$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 24c | 458.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 278.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…3fa2backed No | 67c | 277.02$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 27c | 263.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 260.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 26c | 257.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 251.74$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 227.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 224.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 72c | 213.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 72c | 173.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 71c | 165.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 153.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d412backed Yes | 26c | 142.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 71c | 132.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 31c | 117.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 111.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 29c | 104.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Yes | 23c | 95.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 88.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 29c | 82.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 71c | 81.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 28c | 75.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 29c | 70.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed No | 68c | 58.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 53.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 28c | 49.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 48.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…a9f0backed Yes | 31c | 48.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 71c | 47.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed No | 66c | 47.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…f90bbacked No | 73c | 43.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 43.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 73c | 41.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…982dbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 34c | 33.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 27.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…b240backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed No | 72c | 22.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?No won
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.