TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Yes30c26,664$7,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,704.5211055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No26c21,562$5,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,683.224348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c3,487$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.7443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c1,924$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.034854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No12c1,885$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2713049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c1,700$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.0547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No14c1,518$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.42213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-75.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No70c1,400$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes79c1,101$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.511181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa03f…fa16backed Yes28c1,024$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+76.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c1,007$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9313551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c954.5$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.153641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No46c944$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.312133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c918.95$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.0898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No12c772.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7210633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No70c763.6$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.5224732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No4c681.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.894124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes31c629.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+189.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No69c579.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No70c549.56$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.23063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No20c525.32$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.211330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed No44c455.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No10c454.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.64647.8%22 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No70c429.85$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c401.44$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.1911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes32c359.38$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.385048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x054b…ea92backed Yes28c357.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…1f51backed Yes59c340.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No70c320$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2242263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed No69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No71c280.04$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No70c280$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+70.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes47c229$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.456471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No7c211.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c210.95$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.111752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No45c208.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.031735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked No71c203$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes77c191.33$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.912759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+89.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea6d…65acbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf23a…d412backed No67c147.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes31c131.61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+85%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2288…a717backed Yes59c125.75$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.85846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes51c113.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.515140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed No36c103.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.654146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed No32c98.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No23c94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2314951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No70c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No24c78.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.459714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No27c73.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes58c71.03$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.085853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No62c64.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No71c52.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.893737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbcb…575ebacked No42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…f725backed No69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No42c47.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6611050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193b…9c37backed No45c46.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb53…d075backed Yes59c45.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes74c44.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No71c44.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes29c42.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No74c38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.121060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No71c38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…a538backed Yes59c35.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes72c34.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes56c29.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.182060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f4…b240backed No36c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bef…1ad5backed No69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked No69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked No74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes46c24.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.393354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x765d…2e22backed Yes79c22.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes68c21.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c91…af73backed No71c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c7…febcbacked No71c20.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d3…5f8ebacked No69c18.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd4…b5e3backed No71c17.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f5…e0c9backed No75c16.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes77c14.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.