TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c13,056$7,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,200.9812132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c12,022$6,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,848.314,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c6,231$2,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.562,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c5,412$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.7468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over24c4,178$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.0522859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over54c3,835$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.9856439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c2,522$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.043,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1007439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under46c1,278$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.5740357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over17c1,203$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c964.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c800$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44463757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c753.04$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.339338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under39c740.4$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.7313347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over24c700$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3211819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under43c686.05$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.053050%15 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under45c659.72$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7145250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under43c612.55$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3269350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c600$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6460732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over55c555$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.891758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over12c498.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6820043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over36c442.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under66c418.73$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over60c401.68$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.731,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over55c391.87$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.754146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under45c390.32$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6848251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over51c333.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under42c322.69$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.168445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over54c312.35$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.619865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17416745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over52c299.23$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.410329.1%30 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Over63c228$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.363342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over25c216.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0828138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over61c215.34$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under47c212.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+91.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed Over24c210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over61c178.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.181,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under45c178.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0822658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005862.1%36 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under41c157.58$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.971080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb48e…95b3backed Over58c156.9$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911050%5 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over59c141.01$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1922448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over25c116.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0137348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over44c115.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under39c114.89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0813645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c110.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7922446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f1…09d2backed Over23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7978…dad7backed Over23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1118…028cbacked Over23c106.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.618653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over63c96.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.947750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed5d…ea3bbacked Over30c93.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.921250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160c…185cbacked Under40c89.44$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.781650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under40c88.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5322246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under40c86.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1115655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over56c81.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.524463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under39c78.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.774852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over39c77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.038958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.481,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over43c70.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5833244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under47c68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.046256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under62c66.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3283640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102010%2 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-76.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x651c…1084backed Over50c60.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over24c57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6810634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under44c55.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.949167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c54.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5635759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over48c52.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9220253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x686b…ea8fbacked Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc666…3706backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under58c47.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c38…c367backed Under43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.512373.9%17 W · 6 L+7.1wins+0.31per pick43cpaid+58.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under59c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8926154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under42c44.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7116660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa285…9394backed Over55c39.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e46…2873backed Under39c38.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under52c34.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3933161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under62c31.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.091283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Under39c31.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.013158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.859151.6%47 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…33c9backed Under40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under43c29.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8713648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over60c28.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9317759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Under73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.45056%28 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under61c25.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2216348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d5b…acdcbacked Over61c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.