La Liga · resolved market
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b3ed8a6b17927b7ccb4f5780754ef8e7904451df17c7f1907da1e6a0a49ba44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 13,489$9,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.48 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 28c | 12,733$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 28c | 10,694$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.3 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 6,864$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.11 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 72c | 4,087$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 33c | 3,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 1,912$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.43 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 1,849$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.29 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 7c | 1,700$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 72c | 1,600$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 71c | 1,140$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 72c | 972.22$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 72c | 902.78$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 797.2$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 7c | 716.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 31c | 685.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 72c | 493.78$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 70c | 484.22$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 6c | 437$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 322$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 72c | 309.42$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 36c | 299.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Over | 34c | 233.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 66c | 174.07$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 30c | 167.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 33c | 150.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 32c | 149.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 16c | 145.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 73c | 132.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 65c | 131.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 66c | 123.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 28c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 19c | 86.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 75c | 77.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 64c | 77.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 68c | 77.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 73c | 66.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 55.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 66c | 45.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 68c | 43.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 67c | 40.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 63c | 40.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Under | 68c | 33.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 66c | 32.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 68c | 32.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 72c | 30.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 73c | 28.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 67c | 27.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee7…14dcbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 77c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 73c | 23.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 65c | 23.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 68c | 22.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 73c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…e0c9backed Under | 66c | 20.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 73c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 67c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Under | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 72c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 73c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5this page
- Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 0.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.