TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over46c31,170$14,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,727.689649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over49c15,997$7,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,160.381060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under51c7,537$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8441631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over66c5,282$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c5,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6401,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c4,981$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.851,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c4,661$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.3871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under50c4,022$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.416732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under53c3,622$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.713553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over71c2,523$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.97974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c2,482$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.3568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under51c1,960$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.65162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under54c1,600$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c1,485$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.513,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7568547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over29c1,154$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8194247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under32c1,143$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.741,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under5c1,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under54c972.22$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Under53c950$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under51c945.92$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.898945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ce…d001backed Under54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c738.17$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2187154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under54c735$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37812661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under54c592$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6811055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c576.66$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c570$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27014359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over73c489.58$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.441338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under41c445.93$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.721,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21614257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c361$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1235149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under32c311$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5222042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16215060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16213158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under53c290$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.71764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under40c266.31$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.624046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under51c265.29$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under51c260$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under54c260$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under54c260$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c259.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.821,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under32c245.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6830957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c234.22$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2968550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7710853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under52c200.22$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.21225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under27c190.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.980249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under25c180.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6323953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under54c179.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7810755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over46c173.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.648853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under40c164.24$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under51c157.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.224450%22 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under54c156$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2414660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under54c156$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2414459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under55c149.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.518655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Under24c145.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.324650%23 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under53c143.35$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9852639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over55c140.39$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4731158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under54c140$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.616955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under54c133.44$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0610655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under35c118.71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4112551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c113.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over30c84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4720849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.836247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.29058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under24c79.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1125851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under54c76.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c72.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under54c70.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.776553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under53c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.456065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Over66c62.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.131040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.113557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over65c58.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5929460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under54c58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.32825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over30c55.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6936051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over56c53.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7810960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over56c53.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.787758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.194669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165343.4%23 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Under32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under54c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083f…ff1cbacked Over44c43.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.161369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.558465.5%55 W · 29 L+16.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.675362.3%33 W · 20 L+12.0wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+83%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.