Mls · resolved market
San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f67231639cd7521ada35a3fd98a72d25396134ad8f3e5c3af8feb975e75cd33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 8,269$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.33 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Under | 70c | 6,891$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 54c | 6,504$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 41c | 4,029$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.04 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 69c | 1,296$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.3 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 34c | 1,173$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.49 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 841.41$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.91 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 729.86$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.22 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 55c | 602$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.66 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 33c | 565$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.79 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 33c | 492.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.04 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 31c | 445.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.19 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 67c | 400.65$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.77 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4749…321dbacked Over | 30c | 393.33$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +235%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…f63dbacked Over | 30c | 383.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 35c | 255.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 212.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over | 32c | 185.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Over | 61c | 158.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 29c | 135.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 45c | 133.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 30c | 133$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 31c | 128.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 33c | 122.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 31c | 110.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked Over | 29c | 103.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 30c | 98.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 82.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…bf93backed Over | 29c | 81.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 43c | 72.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 45c | 66.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…d590backed Over | 46c | 65.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 49c | 60.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 31c | 60.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 28c | 56.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Under | 49c | 56.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 44c | 53.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +83%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 32c | 44.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 25c | 42.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 73c | 41.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 52c | 35.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 65c | 30.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…4fb2backed Under | 61c | 21.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 67c | 20.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5this page
- San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.