Mls · resolved market
San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5da6f60ed015ca0831fc103c6e54a35041b1d350cbdf0fa447243a2d377df12e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 35c | 602.55$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.98 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 599.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.94 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Under | 51c | 385.19$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 41c | 201.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 33c | 149.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 123.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 69c | 116.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 32c | 92.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 19c | 88.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 66c | 75.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 67c | 74.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 33c | 38.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 36.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 68c | 34.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 68c | 32.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…ff1cbacked Over | 66c | 28.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 26.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 69c | 25.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Over | 69c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5this page
- San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.