Fifa International · resolved market
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b86d44ab2dd55bd03f47ef094bf6159a053e3304dd9725d5fdac29f6f50eba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 58c | 5,235$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.58 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 1,857$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 1,188$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.47 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 56c | 956.55$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.35 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked No | 67c | 912.33$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 887.57$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed No | 54c | 422.23$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.31 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 343.18$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 79c | 328.43$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 50c | 308.95$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Yes | 28c | 267$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 46c | 237.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 33c | 214.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 64c | 210$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 49c | 205.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed No | 66c | 201.21$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 50c | 196.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 35c | 193.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 45c | 190.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Yes | 48c | 161$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 44c | 145.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 40c | 134.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…e271backed No | 59c | 121.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed No | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 114.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 46c | 112.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 54c | 92.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 91.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Yes | 40c | 73.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabc9…eb4cbacked No | 52c | 71.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…a4d7backed No | 60c | 66.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 61c | 52.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Yes | 48c | 50.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 45c | 48.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 43c | 45.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 45c | 44.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 41.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…554cbacked Yes | 47c | 33.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Yes | 47c | 30.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed No | 55c | 30.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 33c | 30.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 46c | 29.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 41c | 29.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…82bdbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 47c | 23.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 52c | 22.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…882fbacked Yes | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed No | 53c | 20.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 52c | 19.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…273ebacked No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Republic of Ireland won
- Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Republic of Ireland (-2.5)Qatar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.