Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe527a88884df07df756dcf4f52867cab27c3aa7a6e71f79aa55811bf824fafd3

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,098 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	47c	5,932$2,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,126.41	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	57c	5,931$3,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,367.14	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	12c	4,342$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,801.82	161	16.1%26 W · 135 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	25c	3,084$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,302.49	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	69c	1,371$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.17	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over	75c	1,100$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under	26c	960$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710.4	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	57c	762.23$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.08	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	62c	733.77$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.46	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over	20c	637.34$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.34	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over	74c	600$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.92	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Under	43c	541.8$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.22	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under	48c	483.21$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.73	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	74c	422$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.28	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61dd…bb24backed Over	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.25per pick	39cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	108	41.7%45 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee01…b01fbacked Under	73c	273.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	55cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under	67c	255.22$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.22	251	25.1%63 W · 188 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	42c	251.84$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.73	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	25c	249.97$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.05	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over	62c	231.08$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Over	75c	215.07$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…75f0backed Under	48c	209.92$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.08	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	311	56.6%176 W · 135 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	116	31.9%37 W · 79 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under	28c	178.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.57	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	58c	169.99$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.6	172	55.2%95 W · 77 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under	30c	166.67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.67	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdc…25d5backed Over	75c	164.55$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.41	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under	28c	158.63$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.21	351	50.7%178 W · 173 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Over	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Over	77c	103.9$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	106	67.9%72 W · 34 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over	75c	101$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.75	57	61.4%35 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x115e…5019backed Over	76c	100$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	73cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f4a…dd45backed Over	60c	98.33$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a98…1071backed Over	75c	93.12$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.84	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Under	27c	92.85$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.85	30	50%15 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	74c	79$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	74c	77$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.98	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	58c	74.99$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.29	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	64c	69.15$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.91	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under	27c	57.89$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.26	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78be…df11backed Over	76c	52.62$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under	73c	52.08$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over	57c	50.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.66	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Over	62c	48.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.04	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	26c	46$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.04	203	30.5%62 W · 141 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Under	67c	44.78$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.78	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	64cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79e1…982dbacked Under	64c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c1…5981backed Under	63c	38.44$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Over	57c	35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	142	40.8%58 W · 84 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Under	72c	34.73$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.73	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f20…3a2abacked Under	59c	33.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.93	57	64.9%37 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Over	75c	33.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc96…e37cbacked Over	76c	31.68$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c7a…f376backed Under	53c	30.28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.36	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	56c	28.85$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.73	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over	72c	28.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	379	50.1%190 W · 189 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over	53c	27.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	146	47.3%69 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6a7d…582abacked Over	71c	22.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	73cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Over	71c	21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x967b…46babacked Over	74c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c3…4d56backed Over	77c	18$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0457…4f8ebacked Over	60c	16.67$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Under	79c	16$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.36	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Over	72c	14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	137	45.3%62 W · 75 L	-14.9wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5this page
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Under won
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Under won
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Under won
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Republic of Ireland won
Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5)Qatar won
Spread: Republic of Ireland (-2.5)Qatar won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event