Fifa International · resolved market
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a583fffbf740ccf2016b0b997dd432d14a51589ccb5a2f9b2647f7c17b9a96a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 7,871$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.36 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 55c | 4,498$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 53c | 4,333$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.31 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,711$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.65 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 48c | 2,078$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 53c | 1,998$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.87 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 1,456$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.93 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 46c | 1,264$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.56 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 33c | 993.85$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.86 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 993.49$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.41 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 49c | 851.49$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.23 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 21c | 838.64$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 67c | 835.55$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.82 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 17c | 791.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 51c | 599.97$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 48c | 414.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 394.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over | 52c | 380.18$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 46c | 323.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 49c | 297.96$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Under | 35c | 285.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 54c | 272.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…0fd7backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 254.58$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.61 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 238.92$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 49c | 205.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 187.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 47c | 185.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 180.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 170.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 168.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 50c | 147.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x50f1…91acbacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 36c | 125.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 47c | 120.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 50c | 116.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 49c | 112$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 98.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 50c | 97.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 16c | 94.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 37c | 87.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 68.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 62.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 47c | 59.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 71c | 57.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…1a5bbacked Under | 53c | 56.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 38c | 53.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 63c | 48.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…fb84backed Over | 53c | 47.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 55c | 43.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 36c | 41.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 40.3%100 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Over | 46c | 32.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 49c | 31.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 52c | 30.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Under | 47c | 23.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…e6cebacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5this page
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Republic of Ireland won
- Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Republic of Ireland (-2.5)Qatar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.