Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3a3793a5faff7356c66a73893ab4ec5753e8c81c40791b101dcb004e7c5da84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qatarof Republic of Ireland, Qatar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Republic of Ireland | 41c | 4,732$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.57 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Qatar | 58c | 1,738$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Qatar | 62c | 1,149$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.37 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Republic of Ireland | 35c | 999.94$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Qatar | 57c | 941.79$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.88 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Qatar | 65c | 549.01$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.41 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Qatar | 47c | 382$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qatar | 60c | 377$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Qatar | 58c | 344$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Republic of Ireland | 48c | 304.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Qatar | 73c | 286.41$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Republic of Ireland | 36c | 240$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Republic of Ireland | 36c | 198.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Republic of Ireland | 29c | 190.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…610abacked Republic of Ireland | 41c | 174.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Qatar | 57c | 155.03$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Qatar | 58c | 155$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6be3backed Republic of Ireland | 33c | 150.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Republic of Ireland | 24c | 136.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Republic of Ireland | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Qatar | 42c | 117.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Qatar | 60c | 106.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Qatar | 62c | 102.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Republic of Ireland | 44c | 100.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e0…fe5dbacked Republic of Ireland | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Republic of Ireland | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Qatar | 65c | 77.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Qatar | 65c | 77.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Qatar | 59c | 75.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Republic of Ireland | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Republic of Ireland | 35c | 72.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Qatar | 65c | 69.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Qatar | 65c | 66.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Qatar | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Qatar | 64c | 52.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Qatar | 69c | 51.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Republic of Ireland | 40c | 50.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Qatar | 62c | 49.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Republic of Ireland | 52c | 48.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Republic of Ireland | 49c | 47.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Republic of Ireland | 29c | 43.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Republic of Ireland | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Republic of Ireland | 40c | 38.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Qatar | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Republic of Ireland | 67c | 29.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Qatar | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Qatar | 71c | 24.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Qatar | 71c | 19.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Qatar | 62c | 18.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Republic of Ireland (-1.5)this page
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Republic of Ireland won
- Spread: Republic of Ireland (-2.5)Qatar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.