La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d733d0f6e1d4f1d8a949a0a3dc3a91a09b3c82747ffaf01045ab3f90b9aaef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 13c | 4,098$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.12 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 12c | 4,000$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.05 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 3,521$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.36 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 2,680$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,152$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 13c | 1,719$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.47 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,453$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 2c | 1,260$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 128 | 23.4%30 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 12c | 1,022$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 12c | 817.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 765.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes | 5c | 741.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed Yes | 12c | 708$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 12c | 622.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…5977backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 4c | 324.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 4c | 299.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Yes | 13c | 289.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f4…1008backed Yes | 13c | 214.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…3e4abacked Yes | 12c | 202$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 12c | 168$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 12c | 159.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 125.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…882fbacked Yes | 12c | 112.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf1…fa85backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 12c | 102.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?No won
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.