La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ffc12f3637aca6d2113a20160620c7f7ab9e9837835ac8099e21e45e49760a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 22c | 4,617$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.95 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 21c | 4,453$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.13 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 1,685$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.14 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 21c | 1,458$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.09 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed No | 79c | 1,328$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 1,318$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.83 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 73c | 1,244$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 1,243$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.67 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 78c | 1,097$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.34 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 21c | 1,045$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.26 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 828.07$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.17 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 795.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…1619backed Yes | 21c | 714$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 80c | 705.08$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 669.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes | 14c | 669.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 524$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 467.46$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 74c | 363.52$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 342.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 324$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 79c | 275.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 20c | 224.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed No | 79c | 223.8$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…04e3backed No | 80c | 223.03$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 79c | 155.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 120.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 26c | 101.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 89.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 15c | 84.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed No | 78c | 57.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 22c | 55.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 55.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…98b9backed No | 79c | 50.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 40.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 79c | 39.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 77c | 28.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 78c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 14.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…e95ebacked No | 79c | 13.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?this page
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.