MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebace404801852965a70d4f8f2769f023b8d394b40802b1a93fdcde87b479fe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Miami Marlins, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $372,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 46,206$20,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,277.22 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.93 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 34,349$19,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,841.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 17,593$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,592.62 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 13,077$6,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,015.38 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 12,835$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.86 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 11,464$7,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,305.15 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 10,849$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 10,011$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.78 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.17 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 6,452$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.61 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 5,896$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.46 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 5,781$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 5,515$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.15 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,128$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 4,878$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.6 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 4,878$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.6 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 0c | 4,863$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 3,988$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 3,666$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 3,346$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 3,273$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.26 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,084$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.48 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 3,038$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 3,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.98 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 2,986$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.76 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,800$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,712$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.2 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 2,317$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.56 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,300$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.03 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,224$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.12 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,080$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,000$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.83 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 1,891$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.14 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,414$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.55 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,356$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,311$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.96 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,302$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…701fbacked Miami Marlins | 23c | 1,277$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,243$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,216$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.71 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…2ec2backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,192$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.09 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,150$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 970$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 900$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 899.55$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.7 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 890.99$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.84 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 795$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 787.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 784.86$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…1818backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 762.31$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 747.3$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.87 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 722.21$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.77 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 704$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.72 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 622.93$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.09 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 599.96$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 538.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 531.91$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 499.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 444$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 440$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 425$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.75 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 407$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 385.37$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 351.95$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 337$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 325.65$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-6.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.