Mls · resolved market
Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb36b5c1197c01844bc697b35c30e800d062b52b870a4851b7cfbb5939f574b28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 7,112$3,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.13 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 55c | 4,102$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.96 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 3,000$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 2,812$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.98 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,697$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 65c | 1,575$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.26 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 1,151$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.09 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Under | 72c | 920.76$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…dfcabacked Over | 54c | 907.99$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 702.27$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.35 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…26efbacked Over | 61c | 656.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 53c | 598.93$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 70c | 484.79$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.79 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 46c | 481.81$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.81 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 450$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 72c | 416.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 415.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 79c | 361.77$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 70c | 359$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 335.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 281.24$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 69c | 274.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 56c | 208.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 203.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951e…5f74backed Over | 42c | 201.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 195.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 50c | 179.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 43c | 166$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 27c | 145.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 142.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 37c | 117.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…b68ebacked Under | 49c | 105$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 99.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 54c | 94.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 85.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 57c | 69.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…44dcbacked Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…882fbacked Under | 75c | 50.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 50c | 49.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Under | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 63c | 47.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Under | 59c | 46.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 55c | 44.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Under | 37c | 43.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Under | 62c | 42.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 50c | 39.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 39.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 57c | 39.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 44c | 36.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 44c | 31.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 58c | 27.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 57c | 27.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 53c | 24.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Under | 43c | 23.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6df…e2aabacked Under | 58c | 22.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 57c | 21.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Under | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.