South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4ed1c02a78d65c2acd73cd2a4d138364068145268bd6f9d4ee23ebc60a534d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 5,382$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Yes | 41c | 4,837$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 1c | 2,004$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 60c | 782.28$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.52 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 560.7$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 539.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.11 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 60c | 521.41$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.53 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 51c | 475.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.04 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 349.95$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.47 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 21c | 325$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 36c | 299.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.12 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 207$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 51c | 185$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 135.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 36c | 131.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Yes | 41c | 120.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 55c | 110.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 48c | 110.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 61c | 79.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 49c | 71.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 60.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 55c | 60.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 48c | 56.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 45.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 63c | 44.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed No | 54c | 33.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 52c | 31.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked Yes | 51c | 30.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.