TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Xtreme Gaming, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,610 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Xtreme Gaming43c33,634$14,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,459.1955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed BetBoom Team57c31,177$17,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,406.0812560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed BetBoom Team53c25,756$13,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,055.6554556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Xtreme Gaming47c19,000$8,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,859.9836041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed BetBoom Team54c7,500$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.999657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Xtreme Gaming46c5,214$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.653333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Xtreme Gaming46c5,153$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.1489440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed BetBoom Team52c4,576$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.7611854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Xtreme Gaming27c3,562$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9681338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming8c2,959$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8552243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Xtreme Gaming2c2,597$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5916821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed Xtreme Gaming48c2,289$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.894932.7%16 W · 33 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Xtreme Gaming31c2,215$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.9833041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb74c…b149backed Xtreme Gaming4c1,900$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8450%0 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed BetBoom Team50c1,671$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.636145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Xtreme Gaming46c1,630$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Xtreme Gaming52c1,600$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.9716142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Xtreme Gaming47c1,510$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.2812948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team57c1,502$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.0379959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Xtreme Gaming2c1,440$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.966434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Xtreme Gaming2c1,426$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0424251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed BetBoom Team60c1,396$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.3148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Xtreme Gaming12c1,384$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17111239.3%44 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed BetBoom Team57c1,309$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.520156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786a…9cd5backed Xtreme Gaming4c1,304$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.682142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Xtreme Gaming45c1,302$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.8722643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a97…66f5backed Xtreme Gaming47c1,288$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009959.6%59 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Xtreme Gaming6c1,214$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6833845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8d…a233backed Xtreme Gaming48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa895…debfbacked BetBoom Team52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked BetBoom Team55c1,069$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.7642145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked BetBoom Team55c1,063$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.3537047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team51c1,040$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.481,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7576…3ff4backed BetBoom Team75c1,021$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.33158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Xtreme Gaming46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Xtreme Gaming2c970$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14522.2%10 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming47c938.45$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming2c857$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9962650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96f…b5e5backed BetBoom Team55c792$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.44341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Xtreme Gaming47c745.74$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010141.6%42 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf28…46adbacked Xtreme Gaming4c721.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.861526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Xtreme Gaming7c698.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5130356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked BetBoom Team55c695.17$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1714657.5%84 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Xtreme Gaming33c660.85$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3816440.2%66 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Xtreme Gaming43c660.08$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8116550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed Xtreme Gaming49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed BetBoom Team55c601.67$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.759557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6503…0c3dbacked BetBoom Team54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2768461.9%52 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Xtreme Gaming10c600$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5837811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming48c599.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.991,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed BetBoom Team50c540.76$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.623438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Xtreme Gaming48c521.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c52…e75fbacked Xtreme Gaming11c506.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4913732.8%45 W · 92 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Xtreme Gaming11c503$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0937018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaba0…62aabacked Xtreme Gaming46c495$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x676f…43c1backed BetBoom Team53c495$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.651540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked BetBoom Team50c489.9$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4839660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Xtreme Gaming46c480.3$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.96346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3952…c2b4backed Xtreme Gaming46c480$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.82157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa69…6e45backed BetBoom Team53c480$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming45c447.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x363a…4a8dbacked Xtreme Gaming47c428.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008258.5%48 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming48c416.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming16c413.16$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked BetBoom Team52c401.73$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.836043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed BetBoom Team50c400$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20297142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Xtreme Gaming51c394.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019443.3%84 W · 110 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed BetBoom Team52c320.79$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9861548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d4…33d8backed BetBoom Team53c318.35$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3511757.3%67 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb72…2514backed BetBoom Team52c303.82$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Xtreme Gaming47c300$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team76c300$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7192056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed BetBoom Team55c292.78$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.755431.5%17 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming46c275.8$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8720452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e430backed Xtreme Gaming44c263.12$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.554949%24 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed BetBoom Team54c251.85$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.856546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed BetBoom Team80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5045457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed BetBoom Team55c225.21$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3412252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed BetBoom Team52c224.85$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9313455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Xtreme Gaming15c220.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.626132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked BetBoom Team48c216.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.767345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked BetBoom Team51c212.38$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.741952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed BetBoom Team57c210.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3431245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming45c201.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.772,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming51c200.39$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6360552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c32…ffdabacked Xtreme Gaming45c200.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc03e…da65backed Xtreme Gaming53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066650%33 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed BetBoom Team50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10073743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Xtreme Gaming47c167.74$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8419251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked BetBoom Team54c163.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3635370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team53c162.4$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.661,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d33…7287backed BetBoom Team51c160.28$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.934746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc26f…ce3bbacked BetBoom Team77c142.95$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.955950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed BetBoom Team52c141.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0891553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team56c139.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.742,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked BetBoom Team52c138.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4673554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Xtreme Gaming53c127.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4437549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Xtreme Gaming46c127$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4211841.5%49 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ff…82cfbacked Xtreme Gaming45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.