Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x340226861b40604406f30704f3d8dbbe6aedeab1164f64e0113756c0683aac60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof BetBoom Team, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,162 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2dd…3d28backed BetBoom Team | 22c | 513$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…131fbacked BetBoom Team | 22c | 480$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed BetBoom Team | 28c | 432.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 411.11$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e8…9e6dbacked BetBoom Team | 19c | 366$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…c41bbacked BetBoom Team | 19c | 359$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…5882backed BetBoom Team | 22c | 321$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…6e62backed BetBoom Team | 19c | 289$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…4ebbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58a…8983backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 248$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…f5febacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 236$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…bd1ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 206$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…2c0abacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 201$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e0a8backed BetBoom Team | 19c | 199$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b34…7aa8backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 173$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 162.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 122.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.