Other European Leagues · resolved market
Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bc1069a4098debb33678101027e1b31d05b0bda5d6c2c6c94c7dbaeae4bdce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 4,230$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.82 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 79c | 2,010$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 1c | 1,767$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 1,409$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 80c | 1,254$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 27c | 1,138$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.58 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 79c | 695$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 20c | 616.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 77c | 539.76$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 13c | 372$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 75c | 365.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 67c | 351.03$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 346.18$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 342.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 26c | 322.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 21c | 218.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 35c | 216.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 66c | 182.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 21c | 175$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 69c | 172.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 36c | 160.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 20c | 135.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 35c | 105.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 33c | 97.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 25c | 71.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 74c | 58.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 49c | 50.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 73c | 43.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 66c | 33.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.61 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Göztepe SK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5)Samsunspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.