Other European Leagues · resolved market
Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a173c4f32986fe14916084931bbfd484d5698dc42f97b0179fc37225ff798f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 2,618$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 45c | 2,194$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 43c | 1,464$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.81 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 41c | 1,439$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,422$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 1,013$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Over | 55c | 901.69$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 646.17$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.4 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 18c | 453.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Under | 25c | 449.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 51c | 380$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 47c | 295.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.65 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 16c | 290.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 282.89$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.47 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 225$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 73c | 203.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…4fa0backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 46c | 101.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 30c | 97.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 47c | 83.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 16c | 70.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 45c | 65.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 48c | 54.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 52.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…c679backed Over | 56c | 48.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 36c | 44.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 36c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Over | 35c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 49c | 32.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 29.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 29.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 47c | 25.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…dda1backed Over | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 50c | 24.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…f733backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Göztepe SK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-2.5)Samsunspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.