TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,903 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c42,921$21,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,815.39159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over51c19,608$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c14,663$9,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,872.831,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over50c12,182$6,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,052.6871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Over51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under49c9,183$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,683.511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under50c7,466$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7331844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.985156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over42c6,907$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.943663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over51c6,530$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Over51c4,902$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over50c4,500$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25021143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over50c4,010$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0053647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under51c3,464$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over44c3,405$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over17c2,999$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.8312839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c2,810$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40515455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under61c2,762$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.7115048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c2,081$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.1229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c1,931$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9751850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e5…8b41backed Over51c1,719$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under51c1,678$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.228041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over31c1,488$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.493534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Over51c980.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked Over51c978.98$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over17c927.23$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c784.63$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over32c744$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c705.88$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6e…1a11backed Over51c630$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c624.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.520150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Over50c578.89$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c499.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2558444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over49c495.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2439920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over41c466.07$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.118333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c401$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over49c393.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x996e…fe9fbacked Over51c391.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under62c322.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.662572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over51c313.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under51c273.53$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.486368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1259447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…07e5backed Over51c248.47$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c226.12$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Over51c221.69$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f96…123cbacked Under50c200.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under60c200.15$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.492352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Over50c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Over51c189.22$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Over51c188.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b3d…2a01backed Over51c187.32$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a5…9f2cbacked Under50c181.87$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under49c179.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.392236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd347…a708backed Over51c174.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd2…ff00backed Under50c161.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d8…ddf8backed Over51c156.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c153$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.521144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under50c148.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+73.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeaa…e7efbacked Under70c142.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick69cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Over51c127.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over36c122$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.423070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+73.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over34c99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.663847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under49c98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.982759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under54c94.69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under73c93.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f84…6c38backed Over51c90.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under49c87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3759348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over51c78.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over52c77.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c76.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under49c74.88$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.192152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under68c72.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3917251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over19c67.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.774141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under49c65.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Over35c64.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2870%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Over51c58.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over50c54.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.18355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under50c52.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.127766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under50c50.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.14450%22 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabae…d62dbacked Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over45c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.522340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over32c49.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9816224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over35c48.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.115750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2246450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34e4…337cbacked Over51c40.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.