TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,222 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c18,892$10,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,270.351,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over50c12,638$6,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,319.636942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c6,393$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.53663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over26c3,851$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.11855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.211850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c1,541$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.7862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over34c1,202$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.143534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over35c999.54$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.71030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over42c952.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under60c811$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over52c499.73$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.875747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c487.28$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22024052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over75c460$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Over56c427.66$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.175330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.673040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under24c416.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe0…ce21backed Over76c379.11$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over55c375$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under53c374.41$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5815048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over53c307.55$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.551540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under5c295$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.713560%21 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.298654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Over63c226.98$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over58c198$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.143847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over54c193$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.533070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa18f…073fbacked Over57c185.96$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x027b…5587backed Over42c182.52$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over58c175.49$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.997755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under53c170.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0817251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over38c170$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.64131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over39c168.61$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.575957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under55c160.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.762035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over77c147.92$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.55040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under51c134.7$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.039152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over74c115.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Over76c114.47$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.471266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Over51c114$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.861241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under52c106.19$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.056368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under48c104.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over39c103.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.014965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Over28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over45c99.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.351850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over49c94.75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.755750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266a…15d3backed Over43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over55c91.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.183650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Under36c90.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0370%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Over76c88.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over41c85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under47c75.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.524141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over25c72.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7126660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over42c71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.012839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under25c71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over41c67.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+265.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over28c61.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over34c56.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.552669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Under59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1422340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b3…1df1backed Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.784148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0d…b02fbacked Over42c41.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8f…2b46backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef8f…78febacked Over69c39.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0718…fccebacked Over34c38.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over46c37.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.111266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f14…c845backed Over76c36.84$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.841838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over35c36.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.784667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0387…d134backed Over42c34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over49c30.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.718856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…2db8backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.272286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed Under53c25.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over76c22.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4211753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over76c22.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.43745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.24969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.