Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41c506f1c38b68f9415abc15a55b3d78147f705da67134f2070c21c8df7120f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,457 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 5,198$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,812.93 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 4,028$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.56 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 75c | 2,408$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.68 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 1,383$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.19 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 37c | 883.92$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 22c | 759.4$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.26 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 520.16$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.33 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…983fbacked Yes | 48c | 468.3$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 48c | 259.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 222.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.23 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed No | 52c | 195.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed No | 52c | 194.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 49c | 167.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…48e3backed No | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 49c | 100.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 31c | 92.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 17c | 79.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed No | 52c | 78.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked No | 49c | 68.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 75c | 65.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…6710backed Yes | 48c | 64.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…e2c2backed No | 54c | 63.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…fbb1backed Yes | 48c | 62.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 60.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 51c | 57.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 74c | 50.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…f311backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed No | 53c | 46.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 52c | 44.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…ec8ebacked Yes | 48c | 44.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 79c | 44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 38.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 32.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 59c | 32.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…313bbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 73c | 30.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 49c | 28.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…b02fbacked Yes | 48c | 22.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Lorient (-2.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.