Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39893587bd1705100458dca342b4b7aa00ebcc686cecc631a39203e1be9416eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,384 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 9,218$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.17 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 39c | 6,399$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.39 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 36c | 999.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.98 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 26c | 737.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.72 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 28c | 708.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.49 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 60c | 599.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 72c | 589.12$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 588.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.94 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 552.99$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.34 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 346.34$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.34 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 40c | 301$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 244.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 63c | 207.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 28c | 164.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 63c | 153.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -6.6wins | -0.55per pick | 64cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Over | 67c | 149.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 45c | 111.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 26c | 99.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Under | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…521cbacked Over | 39c | 64.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Over | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 60.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 60c | 59.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 71c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 70c | 52.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 35c | 50.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 64c | 41.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 58c | 39.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 63c | 25.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.