Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c9f0811bda4e40bc0e42e24819a715b0ba5e9c15faa6dc8f9341360652dc53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 3,649$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.56 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 2,547$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.39 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Under | 51c | 1,913$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 1,839$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.66 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 38c | 1,839$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 1,490$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 1,025$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 872.04$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.04 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 36c | 820.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 17c | 579.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…6f49backed Over | 52c | 576.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 16c | 487.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 479.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 57c | 475.87$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 35c | 466$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 44c | 453.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.88 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Over | 35c | 410$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 26c | 385.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 370.32$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 74c | 352.69$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 50c | 317$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 60c | 301.66$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 33c | 243.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 44c | 227.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 226.5$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 51c | 209.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 75c | 201.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…4fa0backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 40c | 175.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 56c | 161.58$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 61c | 159.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Under | 62c | 130.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 17c | 115.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 115.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 52c | 100.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 44c | 95.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 21c | 86.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 34c | 85.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…676fbacked Over | 50c | 76.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 18c | 66.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 33c | 45.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 45c | 42.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…a8f7backed Over | 43c | 32.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Over | 36c | 32.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…1826backed Over | 52c | 23.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 59c | 23.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…3f3fbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.