Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2296cd63e5f2bb5e9003f50848db4424e93b06cdbbcc6553c71bddd810429831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sydney FCof Newcastle United Jets FC, Sydney FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 24c | 1,672$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sydney FC | 75c | 1,126$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 26c | 984$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 22c | 501.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sydney FC | 73c | 292.5$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sydney FC | 78c | 180.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Sydney FC | 77c | 155.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 14c | 154.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +84%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sydney FC | 74c | 120.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Sydney FC | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Sydney FC | 79c | 39.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +77%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sydney FC | 78c | 39.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sydney FC | 78c | 35.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Sydney FC | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Sydney FC | 80c | 14.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)this page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.