Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x229fc188b758a6650f934bf9a5b02f8025ffad447e7658c1f4422c6f47127dd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 53c | 7,551$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Over | 63c | 6,530$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 5,378$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 30c | 4,679$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.83 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 3,489$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.81 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 2,050$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Under | 47c | 1,864$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +192.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 73c | 1,637$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.97 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 1,571$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.92 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 28c | 1,444$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 1,437$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.47 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 37c | 1,245$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.11 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 1,134$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.59 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 44c | 1,130$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 1,069$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.07 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 59c | 900$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 888.91$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.91 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 39c | 775.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 743.57$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.77 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 569.96$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 538$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 71c | 536.67$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.94 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 38c | 527.39$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 41c | 466$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…6f49backed Over | 47c | 427$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +77%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 229.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 50c | 206$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 197$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 62c | 185.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…09cabacked Over | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 51c | 144.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 138.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 38c | 129.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 78c | 128.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 62c | 126.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 39c | 105.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed Under | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Under | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 62c | 81.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 73.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 21c | 71.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 23c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 38c | 60.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 36c | 56.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 54.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 76c | 52.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 36c | 52.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 48c | 49.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 42c | 47.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…7829backed Over | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 37c | 39.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 39c | 38.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 48c | 37.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 64c | 30.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 39c | 26.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 57c | 23.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 70c | 19.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 76c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Under | 76c | 13.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Sydney FC won
- Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.